GS
I think there's still potential to squeeze another genre channel or two - but let's be clear about the cost v's income ratio on an auto-playout channel with a portfolio of inexpensive repeats.
Commercial space will become cheaper, but with four channels instead of one I think there may be an evening of revenues rather than a substantial reduction, in the case of ITV.
This "increasing capacity to avoid ads" you speak of - that ability is limited to proprietary software on PVR devices. The vast majority continue to watch the linear model of broadcasting, and I think it will be at least a decade before that shifts.
It also applies to "pirate" downloads of some programming, but (as a casual "pirate" downloader), I find it less and less necessary to engage in that activity as the big commercial broadcasters provide me with a legitimate streaming service - with unskipable commercials bolted on.
Forgive me, but I think that rather reflects my point, not yours. The investors saw this as a potential boon - and have realised that there isn't going to be such a significant dividend. ITV were in an otherwise healthy position.
I don't accept that as a catch-all, one bit.
There hasn't been any change here, just a well defined statute preserving the status quo.
I see no reason to change the current regulations when I do not accept that commercial broadcasters are being squeezed out of the market.
There's no evidence to support that at all.
Gavin Scott
Founding member
Mr Q posted:
Well, ITV has launched a bunch of digital channels. All else being equal, when you launch more channels, you're going to get more advertising revenue. Yet ITV can't just keep launching channels ad infinitum (only the BBC gets to do that).
I think there's still potential to squeeze another genre channel or two - but let's be clear about the cost v's income ratio on an auto-playout channel with a portfolio of inexpensive repeats.
Quote:
The question is not what's happening today, but what's going to happen in the future. The current structure of advertising can't be sustained going forward - viewers will have an increasing capacity for avoiding ads.
Commercial space will become cheaper, but with four channels instead of one I think there may be an evening of revenues rather than a substantial reduction, in the case of ITV.
This "increasing capacity to avoid ads" you speak of - that ability is limited to proprietary software on PVR devices. The vast majority continue to watch the linear model of broadcasting, and I think it will be at least a decade before that shifts.
It also applies to "pirate" downloads of some programming, but (as a casual "pirate" downloader), I find it less and less necessary to engage in that activity as the big commercial broadcasters provide me with a legitimate streaming service - with unskipable commercials bolted on.
Quote:
And if you want to talk about share prices, I think what I'm saying is reflect by the fact that ITV shares fell considerably on the news that the UK government would not lift the prohibition on product placement.
Forgive me, but I think that rather reflects my point, not yours. The investors saw this as a potential boon - and have realised that there isn't going to be such a significant dividend. ITV were in an otherwise healthy position.
Quote:
Deregulation should always be the presumed right course of action unless someone can prove otherwise. That case has not been made.
I don't accept that as a catch-all, one bit.
There hasn't been any change here, just a well defined statute preserving the status quo.
I see no reason to change the current regulations when I do not accept that commercial broadcasters are being squeezed out of the market.
There's no evidence to support that at all.