SP
Sput
Ok, I feel I should try, as a smart-arse Physics student, and defend weather radar!
Firstly, range doesn't come into it. Coherent radar (developed before doppler) can (well could a while back) see about twice as far as Doppler, and all the data is gathered from the network of radar sites before any forecasting is done. Forecasting itself is also a batch job, so unless you know there's imminent danger in a very specific location, you can't get a fast forecast.
Also, sorry cat, doppler radar can do a lot more than you realise when it comes to getting data from a scan. It can tell the difference between the type of precipitation, where in the system that precip is falling, not to mention the air patterns throughout a cross-section of the storm. Admittedly the cross-section isn't usually investigated because it's not cost effective or all that practical for long-range (time) forecasting. I'm just pointing out that they can get a lot of info within a few minutes.
The fact is that the forecasting is the weakest link in the chain. When predicting a chaotic system, a general trend is what we have to hope for. Take a look at the predicted path of hurricane Charley the other week - it took them all by suprise and that was a big mother! Chaos is a nasty thing. Two pendulums hanging off each other and both swinging is a chaotic system, we know that the general movement is going to be an osciallation, but we don't know exactly how that oscillation will behave!
It's also worth mentioning that there was many a flood warning operating in that area at the time. I suppose the authorities were damned either way with regard to what action to take.
(Have a gander Here to see what you can see inside a storm, it's pretty!)
Firstly, range doesn't come into it. Coherent radar (developed before doppler) can (well could a while back) see about twice as far as Doppler, and all the data is gathered from the network of radar sites before any forecasting is done. Forecasting itself is also a batch job, so unless you know there's imminent danger in a very specific location, you can't get a fast forecast.
Also, sorry cat, doppler radar can do a lot more than you realise when it comes to getting data from a scan. It can tell the difference between the type of precipitation, where in the system that precip is falling, not to mention the air patterns throughout a cross-section of the storm. Admittedly the cross-section isn't usually investigated because it's not cost effective or all that practical for long-range (time) forecasting. I'm just pointing out that they can get a lot of info within a few minutes.
The fact is that the forecasting is the weakest link in the chain. When predicting a chaotic system, a general trend is what we have to hope for. Take a look at the predicted path of hurricane Charley the other week - it took them all by suprise and that was a big mother! Chaos is a nasty thing. Two pendulums hanging off each other and both swinging is a chaotic system, we know that the general movement is going to be an osciallation, but we don't know exactly how that oscillation will behave!
It's also worth mentioning that there was many a flood warning operating in that area at the time. I suppose the authorities were damned either way with regard to what action to take.
(Have a gander Here to see what you can see inside a storm, it's pretty!)